Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.2#46
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#65
Pace67.2#195
Improvement+1.5#110

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#46
Improvement+2.7#52

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#45
Improvement-1.2#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.4% n/a n/a
First Round10.0% n/a n/a
Second Round3.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 136   Detroit Mercy W 63-54 85%     1 - 0 +7.9 -1.2 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2010 117   Arizona St. W 76-62 83%     2 - 0 +13.9 +0.2 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2010 65   @ California L 64-89 46%     2 - 1 -13.7 +5.0 +5.2
  Nov 28, 2010 289   San Diego W 75-46 97%     3 - 1 +17.9 -5.3 -4.5
  Dec 01, 2010 230   @ Southern Illinois W 74-59 84%     4 - 1 +14.6 +0.1 +0.2
  Dec 04, 2010 132   @ New Mexico St. W 84-78 OT 68%     5 - 1 +11.4 +2.7 +2.9
  Dec 11, 2010 132   New Mexico St. W 78-62 85%     6 - 1 +15.1 -0.3 +0.1
  Dec 17, 2010 324   Longwood W 91-54 98%     7 - 1 +21.7 -7.0 -6.6
  Dec 19, 2010 282   The Citadel W 84-58 96%     8 - 1 +15.3 -4.7 -4.7
  Dec 22, 2010 49   Colorado W 89-76 51%     9 - 1 +23.0 +5.3 +5.3
  Dec 23, 2010 127   Northern Iowa L 60-66 77%     9 - 2 -3.4 +0.9 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2010 107   @ Texas Tech W 61-60 63%     10 - 2 +7.9 +3.1 +3.8
  Jan 01, 2011 100   @ Dayton L 73-76 2OT 60%     10 - 3 +4.6 +3.5 +4.0
  Jan 05, 2011 314   Cal St. Bakersfield W 102-62 98%     11 - 3 +26.5 -6.0 -5.9
  Jan 08, 2011 224   @ Wyoming L 66-67 83%     11 - 4 0 - 1 -1.1 -0.1 +0.0
  Jan 12, 2011 72   Colorado St. W 68-61 73%     12 - 4 1 - 1 +10.9 +1.6 +2.6
  Jan 15, 2011 10   San Diego St. L 77-87 39%     12 - 5 1 - 2 +3.1 +6.9 +5.8
  Jan 19, 2011 137   @ Utah L 72-82 69%     12 - 6 1 - 3 -4.9 +2.5 +2.2
  Jan 22, 2011 26   @ UNLV L 62-63 29%     12 - 7 1 - 4 +15.0 +7.7 +8.2
  Jan 26, 2011 160   TCU W 71-46 88%     13 - 7 2 - 4 +22.2 -1.0 -0.5
  Jan 29, 2011 12   BYU W 86-77 40%     14 - 7 3 - 4 +21.9 +6.7 +6.6
  Feb 01, 2011 108   @ Air Force W 75-61 63%     15 - 7 4 - 4 +20.7 +4.0 +3.4
  Feb 09, 2011 224   Wyoming W 68-57 93%     16 - 7 5 - 4 +4.6 -3.5 -2.4
  Feb 12, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. L 62-68 50%     16 - 8 5 - 5 +4.2 +4.8 +5.2
  Feb 16, 2011 10   @ San Diego St. L 62-68 19%     16 - 9 5 - 6 +13.5 +9.5 +9.7
  Feb 19, 2011 137   Utah L 60-62 86%     16 - 10 5 - 7 -3.2 -0.7 -0.6
  Feb 23, 2011 26   UNLV L 74-77 OT 52%     16 - 11 5 - 8 +6.6 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 26, 2011 160   @ TCU W 80-70 74%     17 - 11 6 - 8 +13.5 +2.4 +1.6
  Mar 02, 2011 12   @ BYU W 82-64 20%     18 - 11 7 - 8 +37.2 +9.6 +10.4
  Mar 05, 2011 108   Air Force W 66-61 82%     19 - 11 8 - 8 +5.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 10, 2011 72   Colorado St. W 67-61 62%     20 - 11 +13.0 +3.5 +3.8
  Mar 11, 2011 12   BYU L 76-87 29%     20 - 12 +5.1 +8.1 +7.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 17.7% 17.7% 12.1 0.0 0.4 15.4 1.9 82.3 17.7%
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 17.7% 0.0% 17.7% 12.1 0.0 0.4 15.4 1.9 82.3 17.7%